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June Feature- Developing a Business Budget By: Keith T. Chiles, MBA
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We often hear that the reason
businesses fail is a lack of funding. I don't agree with that. I feel one of
the most significant reasons why a business fails because of a lack of
budgeting. If we look at large businesses and corporations
we find companies that operate with carefully developed budgets, they
follow those budgets, and they track how close they come to meeting their
goals and expectations from a budget standpoint.
A far better way to operate the
business is to keep accurate records of how all the businesses dealing and
establish what percentage of sales is spent in each area, assuming it's a
retail business or retail type business, and then using those percentages
of variable expenses relative to sales to calculate a budget for each
month.
We
strongly recommend this work be done by a professional who has
a thorough grasp of financial management. In this paper we will be using a
spreadsheet that separates the areas of business income from the
expenses. We will categorize various expenses and group them together so
you'll have understanding of the variable expenses, fixed expenses, and the employee
expenses. Will then subtract the expenses from the income to derive the
net income for the business. We then show how to use Excel to create
budget ratios so you can compare the percentage of expenditures across
different income amounts.
Why we fail to budget
Most of us fail to budget in our lives because we like to feel in control of our money or we uncomfortable managing money. Some people fear the budget will take away their own financial control. The checkbook is their main accounting system and if there is money in the checkbook, then the business must be healthy.
This is a false sense of security as it does not take into account the need to accumulate or accrue money for future or annual bills. For example, business insurance is paid on an annual basis but it may be impossible to write a check on the date payment is due because the money was not set aside and accumulated for this expense.
When
budgeting effectively, money is set aside, or accrued, for annual payments so the money is sitting in the account.
When using a business budget, a spreadsheet is used to keep track of the
money in the account and the bill that is to be paid with it.
Developing a budget for a new company requires this guesswork, but that's expected a new company that has no accounting history. It may take several months for a new company's budget to show signs of accurate costs and sales. It takes up to three years of historical data to develop a good budget.
The steps in setting up a budget are:
Setting up a budget for an existing company.
Get Organized
I generate a monthly statement of
profit and loss that shows the gross sales for the company along with
the cost of goods sold (COGS). This would be the sales receipts less the
amount paid for supplies or merchandise. This provides the
gross profit margin and total sales figures.
I try to keep the the
fixed expenses like rent and loan payments lumped together while keeping the
variable expenses like utilities, telephone, and marketing expenses
together so they are easier to rearrange later.
Let each of the
sections of the spreadsheet have its own little section along with a
subtotal for that section. This will leave you with the original gross
sales margin section, the fixed expenses section, the variable expenses section,
the hourly employees section, and the salaried employees section.
I strongly suggest
bringing in a professional to create your budget if you are having any
problems or do not understand what is going on here.
The problem with simply using the monthly amounts is that it is difficult to see what is going on with a particular expense as other things change. For example, the cost of gasoline has gone down by a hundred dollars after working to save gasoline costs. The temptation is to think your program is successful. Using ratios lets you view your gasoline cost as a percentage of total sales for the month. If sales are also down, then it might be expected that gasoline costs would have also gone down. There may have been no savings as a result of conservation efforts.
Using ratios, however, allows us to look at gasoline as
a percentage of sales. If gasoline is normally three percent of
sales and has dropped to two percent after initiating a conservation
program, then we can assume the program is successful. This assumes
the price of gasoline had not changed.
This leave us with a number that is less than 1, but don't worry as we will convert this to a percentage by using Excel. Pick categories such as hourly salaries and create the ratio in the cell next to the category. This is done by clicking on the cell with the ratio and right clicking to bring up the menu that allows you to select a formatting option. Select a number and percent options and the contents of the cell will be multiplied by 100 and the percent sign will appear after the number.
I want to point out that this form of
expense ratio analysis are not the same as doing financial ratio analysis.
Financial ratios, such as the acid test ratio, is used for evaluating
other aspects of the business and may be the subject of a future article.
You may also adjust some
of the actual expenses to give you a baseline and for establishing your
budget based upon sales. For example, if salaries represent 12 percent
of your sales then you know how much money to budget for next month if you
can predict what your sales will be. Forecasting sales will be much
easier when you have historical data in the spreadsheet.
Excel can provide graphs that show you the trends and you can explore a lot with those graphs, but creating graphs is beyond the scope of this paper. The most important thing to do at this point is to look over the last three years to see sales are rising or dropping.
Do not be tempted to look at the annual trend by just looking at one year. It is necessary to look at individual months over a period of at least three years in order to spot trends in individual months. Keep in mind monthly revenue and expense numbers may fluctuate throughout the year. If it is January and you're trying to predict sales for February, it is important to look at February for the last three or five years to see how sales have been during that month.
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If
sales from for February over the last three to five years have steadily
climbed then you have the ability to predict the next February's sales,
because you can see how much it has climbed over three years. Consider any
market changes before predicting the February sales trend. If the
last few years show that January was climbing and the most recent January
showed a decline, then you can probably expect that February will also
show a similar decline. Do this for
each month and calculate the percentage of increase for each month over a
period of three to five years. If you can
predict sales, and sales is the number that drives your expense
ratios, it's a simple matter of forecasting your sales and letting the
ratios tell you how much money to allocate for each expense category. This
is done by taking the second copy of the budget spreadsheet and building a new budget for each expense category by looking at the
expense's
percentage of sales .
Knowing that employee salaries should be 25 percent of sales,
we merely take that data to the budget forecast spreadsheet and allocate
20 to 25 of your sales forecast in sales toward employee salaries. In other words were taking measurements
of past expenses and using them to make predictions for the amount we
should allocate for the month we are trying to forecast. We do this with all of our variable expense categories to
determine how much we should allocate each month for these expenses.
One of the most important aspects of budgeting is to understand why trends have changed. For example in a seasonal business of lawn mowing, we know that each year during the winter months, business will go down and sales will drop off. We also known that sales and work will climb as the weather improves. We know that sales are seasonal and we can reasonably predict the seasons.
What becomes more problematic is when the sales trends fluctuate from one year to the next. For example, let's assume our gardening business did $300,000 in sales last year, 200,000 the year before, and 300,000 year before that. In other words business is rising, falling, and rising again. If sales is fluctuating, it is important to know why.
In big companies are countless footnotes
on accounting documents explain the various trends they see. For example: accounting documents in a large company
may explain the loss of sales following the Sept. 11th attack on the
United States. Most small businesses don't do this kind of record keeping, but they
should. I recommend to my clients who do their own accounting that
they look at the trends, create a paragraph that explains why
they think this trend has occurred, when they feel the trend will turn around,
and what they are going to do to offset the loss of business.
For example: Consider a company selling services, such as our gardening company, with most sales occurring between April and October. If that company bills its customers on a monthly billing cycle, it will have to pay its employees to mow lawns and clean yards during the month of April as business begins to pick up. If the customers get 30 days behind in making their payments, the business will be in the position of having to pay salaries for work, but will not receive their money for 30 days.
This situation requires the business owner to
keep enough money in an account to cover the outflow of cash to pay employees before the
money comes in from customers. If we do business with customers who fail to pay for 90 days, the company is extending 90 days of
credit to its customers and will have to pay as much as a fourth of
a year of salaries before any income is received from the work that was
done.
Even with a reduction in business in October or November, we know that most customers will catch up on paying their bills and make payments during the early winter months. Many business owners make the mistake of spending the extra money by perhaps buying a new car for themselves with what they perceive to be a bonus.
Good business owners will take
that money and invest it in a secure investment knowing they're
going to need it in April or May to pay salaries. What this
means is that the cash will for this business will lag by two or
three months regardless of the time of year, so it's necessary to set
the extra money aside as the cash flow catches up.
Basic financial management
is to bill quickly and pay slowly. Although the simple statement is the
fundamental premise of financial management, and many companies practice
this to the letter, it is not always an effective
strategy.
By collecting quickly and paying slowly, company was able
to maximize profits from its cash flow, however, that company had difficulty getting discounts
or credit from its
vendors when needed. Their credit rating was so poor that other
businesses raised their prices to compensate for the slow payment. As a result,
the company only did business with some of the worst sellers and they
generally paid a premium price for products. That company paid more
for its aggressive cash-flow management than it ever made by investing the
cash .
The point of these illustrations is that we work in cooperative
interdependencies between ourselves, our customers, and our vendors.
Ethical financial management can make many
other areas of the business run much more smoothly.
One of the most fundamental mistakes the business owner can make is to get into financial difficulties and then go to the bank for help. Recognize that every business will eventually need a business loan. With this in mind, it is always best to get to know the banker before the money is needed.
Bankers are people and there's nothing to prevent
a
business owner from taking a bank branch
manager to lunch and getting to know that person. Make friends with
your bank manager, because the bank manager may be able to push a loan
through when it is needed later. Whatever you do, don't be a walk-in
customer asking for a business loan. Develop a good relationship with your bank manager and you should have very few problems securing
a loan when needed.
If you are trying to expand the business, you have a well-written plan, and a well developed strategy, obtaining expansion capital should not be difficult. Unfortunately, most companies need money to fund their operations. The typical scenario is that the business owner has gotten behind in some bills, perhaps funded their business with some credit cards, or even taken a small home equity loan our own their home. The failure of the small business owner to properly plan and strategize their operations is the problem behind the financial problems.
This becomes very clear when loan applications are being made to
borrow money to consolidate loans to pay operating expenses. It is
another fundamental tenant of financial management that money should only
be borrowed for capital expansion or predictable business cycles. Money
should not be borrowed to fund operational expenses as this is an
indicator of a flawed business strategy. Don't confuse the borrowing of
money to fund operations with a line of credit that is supposed to be used
for that purpose.
Don't be shy about asking the banker what kind of services are provided by the bank to help make your business more efficient. Most business owners will be amazed to learn how much the bank can do to help them, but most small-business owners don't want to pay the fees associated with those types of assistance. |
If the banker recommends that you purchase a service from them, such as a lockbox service, then asked the
banker to evaluate your business and show how the lockbox service will pay
for itself. Let the bank manager analyze your situation and determine whether or not you
are a candidate for such a
service. I use this only as an example of a business service, but there are many things the banker
can do for you. The most important one is for the banker to know you and to know your
business before you need money.
It is my recommendations that most businesses work with a consultant to develop good business plans and to develop good
cash-flow management methods. Good cash-flow management will help keep you out
of the banks, away of loan need to borrow money for operations, and will
help keep you focused on growth and expansion.
This can seem a little complex, but if you know the budget forecast, and then you have real numbers, you can simply subtract the real numbers from the forecast to arrive at the variance. The variance is how much you missed your budget. I do not present specific guidelines on how to set up a variance in a spreadsheet, but the important thing is to carefully track the numbers every month and know how much your operations have missed your budget forecast.
Don't worry if there is a large
variance in the first months, because this is normal and no budget is perfect; especially for the small business. Small businesses are
subject to a lot of financial fluctuation, because the numbers are usually too small to be precise. Large companies can
accurately predict
the sales to less than a percent and the same goes for expenses.
The main thing is to know you varied from your budget and to know why.
Analysis
They were based in Stockton but much of
the work was in San Jose. Overtime expense was not realistic because
they were paying employees to drive to the job site. This did
not become obvious until we started budgeting and were looking at
the numbers. We reorganized the business into work and hired people in each cell to keep
a vehicle at their home to
be dispatched. This is an example of how budgeting and
brainstorming can be used to control costs. The result was a 30 percent
reduction employee costs and about a 20 percent reduction in vehicle
operating costs.
If we look at the budget forecast, there should be a line item for business insurance with $5,000 in December. If we are creating this budget in March, we simply calculate the number of months between now and December, and divide the $5,000 expense by the number of months before the payment is do. This provides us with the monthly cost of insurance for the remainder of the year.
Place this money into the budget as accrued insurance expense and write a check for that amount every month to a separate savings account. The separate account is to prevent the small-business owner from accidentally spending that money before December. Setting up a small savings account and moving money into that account to pay annualized expenses can be an effective strategy.
Make another spreadsheet that includes the money
that has been accrued and what bills are to be paid with it. At the end of the budget year when you paid the insurance
bill, or are doing next year's budget, adjust the accrual rate to be the amount of the insurance payment divided by 12.
This will correct the accrual rate for an entire year of accrual.
Look around that these kinds of items and determine which ones will need to be replaced and when. An example might be that a machine shop may have a very lathe that costs $15,000, but the lathe is either getting old or there is a need for another one to increase production. We determine there will be a need to purchase another one in the next few years.
This would be an excellent candidate for a business loan as the useful life of a lathe may be over 15 years, and money can be borrowed for five years. It might be justified in purchasing an additional lathe on credit, because the lathe will generate additional income and pay for itself.
Another way to look at it would be to make the decision to make the purchase in three years and to set aside about $500 each month in the accrual account. This will make the money available for this capital expenditure when you need to purchase the lathe three years. This kind of proactive cash management allows the company to avoid having to go to the bank to borrow money for equipment.
Treat the accrual for this kind of
capital equipment the same way you treat the accrual of money for paying the
business insurance. Set the money aside and record it in a
spreadsheet so
you will know how much money in the fund is allocated toward
insurance and how much of its allocated toward different pieces of equipment.
If a bank purchases another bank in their own market area, they are purchasing a competitor in order to obtain additional market share. This may be done for many reasons, but the outcome is that the two banks can operate as one bank more efficiently than as competitors.
If a bank in northern part of a state purchases a bank in the southern part of the state, they are making an acquisition to enter new markets. They are purchasing an existing business in a new area and it avoids the need to expand into the area and then compete with the other bank.
It is occasionally possible for the small
business to either purchase a competitor who is going out of business, or
to purchase a competitor who serves an area you would like to expand into.
Either of these opportunities are ways to invest surplus cash if the
market appears to be improving.
Don't
be overly optimistic as it can take quite a long time for a company to
develop the kind of growth that the owner might want. An example
might be that you can estimate the expenses of employees and equipment in
the yard care business. You know you're going to need to acquire
certain amount of capital equipment, hire a sales representative, hire three or four employees to do the work, and perhaps
a truck or
trailer to move the equipment around. These expenses can all be estimated.
What is much more difficult to estimate sales.
Again, ask yourself are realistic your sales forecast is. If the numbers look acceptable to you that it's time to open the business, but watch those expenses and sales forecasts. Instead of being a budget, your forecast is a plan. Constantly monitor to see how close your actual numbers are to your plan.
Following a budget can significantly help in the management of your business because the budget forces you to look at your cash and finances and management. Don't chase expensive solutions to problems. I've seen many companies operate on the old envelope system of keeping cash available for various expenses and then replacing the receipts with cash at the end of the month. People using this method don't have to worry about exceeding their budget when the credit card bills arrive.
This is a particularly effective method of handling situations
where the business owner or employees will take clients or customers out
to launch. It's also very good for handling gasoline
purchases, because it keeps people from falling into what I called the
bottomless wallet syndrome, which is so common when using credit cards.
I'm amazed by how quickly a few small purchases can add up when
using a credit card.
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